- US inflation : CPI rose 0.3% in June, the largest monthly rise since January; annual inflation hit 2.7%, up from 2.4% in May.
- Core inflation (excluding food & energy) stayed moderate, rising 0.2% month-over-month and 2.9% annually.
- Gasoline prices rebounded 1% after four months of decline; food prices rose again, led by coffee (+2.2%) and beef (+2%).
- Egg prices dropped 7.4% as avian flu impacts faded.
- Vehicle, hotel, and airline fares fell, signaling weaker consumer demand.
- Fed likely to hold interest rates steady at 4.25% — 4.50%, watching upcoming July and August inflation data closely.
Goldman Sachs expects (US inflation) further tariff-driven core inflation through summer, especially in electronics, autos, and apparel.