OpenAI Eyes $500 Billion Valuation in Employee Share Sale (1)

OpenAI Eyes $500 Billion Valuation in Employee Share Sale

OpenAI is in early discussions for a secondary stock sale that would:

  • Allow current and former employees to cash out their shares.
  • Potentially value the company at ~$500 billion.
  • Come prior to a future IPO.

Valuation Context

  • Current valuation: $300 billion
  • Target valuation in share sale: $500 billion
  • A significant increase reflecting:
    • Rapid growth in users and revenue
    • Intense competition in the AI industry for talent

Revenue and User Growth

  • Annualized revenue run rate:
    • $12 billion (as of July)
    • Projected to reach $20 billion by year-end
  • Weekly active users for ChatGPT:
    • Now at 700 million, up from 400 million in February

Funding and Investor Involvement

  • Part of a broader $40 billion primary funding round:
    • Led by SoftBank, which has until year-end to fund its $22.5 billion portion.
    • Remaining amount already subscribed at a $300 billion valuation
  • Existing investors like Thrive Capital are in talks to participate in the employee share sale.

Industry Trends & Talent War

  • Meta is reportedly investing billions into Scale AI to attract CEO Alexandr Wang.
  • Firms like ByteDance, Databricks, and Ramp have used similar share sales to:
    • Refresh valuations
    • Reward long-term employees

Future Outlook

  • OpenAI is considering corporate restructuring to move away from its capped-profit model.
  • This could pave the way for a future IPO.

CFO Sarah Friar has stated that an IPO will only occur when the company and markets are ready.

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