OpenAI is in early discussions for a secondary stock sale that would:
- Allow current and former employees to cash out their shares.
- Potentially value the company at ~$500 billion.
- Come prior to a future IPO.
Valuation Context
- Current valuation: $300 billion
- Target valuation in share sale: $500 billion
- A significant increase reflecting:
- Rapid growth in users and revenue
- Intense competition in the AI industry for talent
- Rapid growth in users and revenue
Revenue and User Growth
- Annualized revenue run rate:
- $12 billion (as of July)
- Projected to reach $20 billion by year-end
- $12 billion (as of July)
- Weekly active users for ChatGPT:
- Now at 700 million, up from 400 million in February
- Now at 700 million, up from 400 million in February
Funding and Investor Involvement
- Part of a broader $40 billion primary funding round:
- Led by SoftBank, which has until year-end to fund its $22.5 billion portion.
- Remaining amount already subscribed at a $300 billion valuation
- Led by SoftBank, which has until year-end to fund its $22.5 billion portion.
- Existing investors like Thrive Capital are in talks to participate in the employee share sale.
Industry Trends & Talent War
- Meta is reportedly investing billions into Scale AI to attract CEO Alexandr Wang.
- Firms like ByteDance, Databricks, and Ramp have used similar share sales to:
- Refresh valuations
- Reward long-term employees
- Refresh valuations
Future Outlook
- OpenAI is considering corporate restructuring to move away from its capped-profit model.
- This could pave the way for a future IPO.
CFO Sarah Friar has stated that an IPO will only occur when the company and markets are ready.